Please note: The algorithm descriptions in English have been automatically translated. Errors may have been introduced in this process. For the original descriptions, go to the Dutch version of the Algorithm Register.

Residential burglary predictor

Preventing residential burglary in Utrecht

Last change on 12th of July 2024, at 9:04 (CET) | Publication Standard 1.0
Publication category
Impactful algorithms
Impact assessment
Field not filled in.
Status
Out of use

General information

Theme

Public Order and Safety

Begin date

2016-07

End date

2023-07

Contact information

algoritmeregister@utrecht.nl

Responsible use

Goal and impact

Preventing residential burglary in Utrecht. To do so, we provide our residents with tools such as information on suitable alarm systems, Police marks and practical tips. With the application of this algorithm, we as a municipality could predict down to neighbourhood level how high the risk of residential burglaries would be. Based on many different types of data, from the municipality and other partners like the Police. Since the application of this algorithm, the number of residential burglaries in Utrecht has decreased.

Considerations

Results Utrechts Uthiek Assessment: with this approach to preventing residential burglary, we contribute to the values Safety and Health of Utrecht residents. From the value Privacy, we have ensured that only anonymised data is used in the data model. From the value Control of technology, we ensure that the algorithm meets the conditions of information security.

Human intervention

The algorithm (with a direct impact on Utrecht residents and their living environment) always serves only as a source of information for an employee, who takes the appropriate next step based on this information and the context of the situation. This principle is included in our Utrecht framework Internal Guidelines for Algorithm Application.

Risk management

The Utrecht data scientists, Information and Process Advisors (IPA) and Decentralised Information Security Officers (DISO) within the Utrecht municipality have a controlling and monitoring role in the application of the algorithm, in addition to the employees directly involved. By doing so, we want to prevent the following risks from occurring:


- data leak by making personal data of Utrecht residents publicly available

- algorithm takes a decision completely independently, without the intervention of an employee and without interpreting the relevant context of the situation

- 'function creep' regarding data in the application of the algorithm, causing the algorithm to give a distorted picture of what is going on. This can occur because the same type of data is used when applying the algorithm, and the algorithm uses that as confirmation of what comes out as information

Operations

Data

Data sets used in the application of the algorithm include the following:


- Overview of addresses committed residential burglary (based on report) with information on burglary method from the Police

- Reports on public space with location

- Demographic characteristics such as flow, density, age groups and composition of housing stock at aggregate level

- Environmental characteristics such as proximity of facilities related to traffic (bus stops or train stations) or shops

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